South Florida vs Syracuse 11/11/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with South Florida winning 60% of simulations, and Syracuse 40% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. South Florida commits fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. Syracuse wins 54% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Darrell Scott is averaging 63 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. Antwon Bailey is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 53%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SYR +4

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